1. Syllabus#
2021/22 Semester; Credit: 3; Class Number: AtmSci7098
Instructor#
Professor Yu-Chiao Liang (梁禹喬)
Contacting email: yuchiaoliang@ntu.edu.tw
Office phone: 02-3366-3907
Teaching Assistants#
Office Hours#
xxx and xxx, by appointment
Location and Time#
Monday 1:20-3:10 pm and Thursday 10:20 am-12:10
Course website#
https://yuchiaol.github.io/polar_climate_change_final/docs/index.html
Grading#
Leading discussion:
IPCC AR6 WGI Report (group presentation 0%)
Literature review 1 (group presentation 15%)
Literature review 2 (group presentation 15%)
Individual homework assignment (5% x 10)
Final project (group presentation 15%)
Additional credit (5%)
Course Description#
(in Chinese) 本課程探討極區的氣候變化。我們不僅介紹極區冰圈以及大氣圈過去幾十年的快速變化,包括海冰,永凍土,降雪,冰河,極地渦旋,也會介紹北極暖 化增強現象的成因與影響,以及探討高緯度氣候變化與中低緯度大氣海洋環流的交互作用。我們會閱讀IPCC最新關於冰圈的特別報告以及最新的研究文獻,來幫助我>們掌握極區最新的研究成果與發展趨勢,同時也會使用不同複雜度的大氣模式,來加深了解極區與中低緯度大氣環流交互作用背後的物理動力機制。
Rapid polar climate change in the past decades was the dominant signature of anthropogenic global warming. This course aims to understand the polar climate change and its interaction with regional and global atmospheric circulations. The first part gives an overview of the fast-changing polar cryosphere and atmosphere, including sea ice, permafrost, snow, glaciers, and stratospheric polar vortex. Students will read IPCC’s AR6 WG1 and Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate and present main conclusions. The second part discusses the two-way interactions of the polar climate change and lower-latitude (including mid-latitude and tropical) atmospheric and oceanic circulations at various spatial and temporal scales, with an emphasis on the cause and effect of Arctic Amplification. We will use a hierarchical modelling approach with different complexity in attempt to understand the potential atmospheric circulation changes in response to polar warming. The anticipated results will be compared to the observations and the state-of-the-art global climate model simulations, for example CMIP5/6 and Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project.
Course Objectives#
This course aims to 1) understand the polar climate change and its interaction with regional and global atmospheric circulations, 2) cover some materials of Chapter 12 - Middle Atmosphere Dynamics - in Holton’s “An Introduction to Dynamic Meteorology” (I will try!), and 3) train students to use simple atmospheric models to investigate Arctic-midlatitude connections.
Course Requirements#
Willingness to lead discussion for reading materials and participate in group cooperation, and basic FORTRAN programing and plotting skills (Python preferred because we will use a machine learning package written in Python!).
Tentative Topics#
Overview of Arctic
Geography, climatology and meteorology
A case study for Siberian record-breaking warming
Explorations
Snow and Permafrost
Glacier and Sea-level Rise
Sea Ice
Dynamics and thermodynamics
Modelling and prediction
Past, recent, and future changes
Cause and Effect of Arctic Amplification
Local vs remote impacts
Mechanisms: climate forcings, climate feedbacks, and poleward energy transport
Debates on Arctic-midlatitude linkages
Polar Stratospheric circulation
Polar vortex and stratospheric sudden warming
Stratosphere-troposphere coupling
Tentative Schedule#
Week1, 9/23 (四4): Introduction
Week1, 9/27 (一67): Overview of Arctic
Week2, 9/30 (四4): LBM introduction; machine location and account
Week2, 10/4 (一67): Permafrost + IPCC
Week3, 10/7 (四4): IPCC; LBM paper review
Week3, 10/11 (一67): 國慶日/雙十節彈性放假
Week4, 10/14 (四4): LBM paper review
Week4, 10/18 (一67): Snow + IPCC
Week5, 10/21 (四4): IPCC; LBM paper review
Week5, 10/25 (一67): Glacier + IPCC
Week6, 10/28 (四4): IPCC; LBM paper review
Week6, 11/1 (一67): Sea ice + IPCC
Week7, 11/4 (四4): IPCC; LBM paper review
Week7, 11/8 (一67): Sea ice + IPCC
Week8, 11/11 (四4): IPCC; LBM paper review
Week8, 11/15 (一67): LBM technical (校慶停課不停班)
Week9, 11/18 (四4): LBM technical; group discussion
Week9, 11/22 (一67): Cause of Arctic amplification + IPCC
Week10,11/25 (四4): Cause of Arctic amplification + IPCC
Week10,11/29 (一67): Cause of Arctic amplification + paper discussion
Week11,12/2 (四4): Cause of Arctic amplification + paper discussion
Week11,12/6 (一67): Cause of Arctic amplification + paper discussion
Week12,12/9 (四4): Cause of Arctic amplification + paper discussion
Week12,12/13 (一67): Effect of Arctic amplification + paper discussion
Week13,12/16 (四4): Effect of Arctic amplification + paper discussion
Week13,12/20 (一67): Effect of Arctic amplification + paper discussion
Week14,12/23 (四4): Effect of Arctic amplification + paper discussion
Week14,12/27 (一67): Final project presentation
Week15,12/30 (四4): Final project presentation
Week15,1/3 (一67): Final project presentation
Week16,1/6 (四4): Wrap-up
Relevant Texts and References#
IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate
An Introduction to Dynamic Meteorology (2012), J. R. Holton and G. J. Hakim
Arctic Amplification and Feedbacks
Review article: Goosse et al. (2018)
Review article: Previdi et al. (2021)
Review article: Taylor et al. (2022)
Temperature feedback: Pithan and Mauritsen (2014)
Forcing latitudes: Stuecker et al. (2018)
Arctic Amplification and Midlatitude Weather and Climate
Review article: Cohen et al. (2014)
Key paper: Francis and Vavrus 2012
Weakened evidence: Blackport and Screen (2020)
Model consistency and discrepancy: Screen et al. (2018)
Divergent consensus Cohen et al. (2019)
Robust but weak response: Smith et al. (2022)
Debates on Mori et al. (2019)
First debate: Screen and Blackport (2019) and Mori et al. (2019)
Second debate: Zappa et al. (2021) and Mori et al. (2021)
Note
I would like to especially thank Professor Brian E. J. Rose (University at Albany) to kindly share his climate modeling course materials and allow us to use the Python scripts and data. Some materials are obtained from The Climate Laboratory.
Idealized models